Transition and the calm before the storm.

I still have a bit of an empty nest feeling with my office. 1k ftsq is a lot of space for just two people. I miss my early dev team. Last Feb through August I felt like Captain Jack on the high seas of web 2.0 opportunity. Now there's a new whiz kid startup every day, and a bunch of silly ideas creating a lot of distracting noise. I believe that this will play out much like the first web. The revenue focused startups will form the next wave of bedrock and integrate the ui innovations of the deceased. It seems what the early web was expecting from ad revenue, the second web is expecting from market data. I just can't see how user generated random market data can be worth what is being spent on it. Models like Flixster and yelp baffle me. I'm looking forward to filling this office back up, shifting gears and heading up a sales team. Come April first, Captain Jack is back. For now, it's very quiet. Like the calm before a storm. 
Speaking of the calm before a storm, I'm really excited about the third web. I think it's about 2-3 years out. With Adobe's launch of Apollo and the coming XUL revolution, the third web's theater will not be the browser. It will be the platform. It's not suprising to hear that Google is working on a phone, or thin clients are hitting multiple industries. Sooner than you think, you'll be looking back and saying "remember when you needed a browser to access the web?"  It will all seem so primitive. Even though there is so much happening in the web, it's all just a ui lab, researching what's next.